Oberliga Hessen Round 22

Vellmar vs Fernwald analysis

Vellmar Fernwald
21 ELO 24
7.8% Tilt -4%
14823º General ELO ranking 4701º
632º Country ELO ranking 215º
ELO win probability
47.9%
Vellmar
23.8%
Draw
28.2%
Fernwald

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.9%
Win probability
Vellmar
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
28.2%
Win probability
Fernwald
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Vellmar
-21%
-2%
Fernwald

ELO progression

Vellmar
Fernwald
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Vellmar
Vellmar
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
31 Mar. 2007
BUC
Buchonia Flieden
1 - 1
Vellmar
VEL
66%
20%
14%
21 27 6 0
24 Mar. 2007
VEL
Vellmar
1 - 1
Wörsdorf
WOR
39%
27%
34%
21 26 5 0
18 Mar. 2007
FRA
Eintracht Frankfurt II
4 - 0
Vellmar
VEL
74%
17%
9%
21 32 11 0
10 Mar. 2007
VEL
Vellmar
0 - 0
KSV Baunatal
BAU
41%
26%
34%
21 25 4 0
03 Mar. 2007
BAY
Bayern Alzenau
0 - 1
Vellmar
VEL
70%
18%
12%
21 30 9 0

Matches

Fernwald
Fernwald
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
31 Mar. 2007
FER
Fernwald
1 - 2
FSV Braunfels
BRA
69%
18%
13%
24 16 8 0
23 Mar. 2007
KKA
Klein-Karben
1 - 1
Fernwald
FER
68%
19%
13%
24 33 9 0
17 Mar. 2007
FER
Fernwald
1 - 4
Borussia Fulda
FUL
28%
25%
47%
25 34 9 -1
09 Mar. 2007
WUR
Würges
3 - 2
Fernwald
FER
58%
21%
21%
26 24 2 -1
03 Mar. 2007
FER
Fernwald
2 - 3
FSV Frankfurt
FSV
15%
20%
65%
27 47 20 -1