Velilla vs Bosco Arévalo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.7%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
31.4%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Velilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
CEB
1 - 0
VEL
80%
13%
8%
|
17 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
VEL
0 - 3
UNA
27%
24%
49%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
MIR
0 - 0
VEL
53%
23%
24%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
VEL
0 - 2
ANT
44%
25%
32%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
UXA
1 - 0
VEL
65%
19%
17%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Bosco Arévalo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
BOS
0 - 1
BEC
33%
26%
41%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
SAJ
2 - 1
BOS
25%
24%
51%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
BOS
0 - 1
AVI
74%
16%
11%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
CUE
1 - 0
BOS
65%
19%
16%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
BOS
6 - 0
SEG
72%
17%
12%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | +1 |