Vélez de San Ramón vs Defensores de Esquiú analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.4%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.3%
10.2%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vélez de San Ramón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2016 |
UNI
1 - 1
VSR
19%
22%
59%
|
34 | 21 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
VSR
0 - 0
VIL
52%
23%
25%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
CCU
0 - 0
VSR
17%
20%
63%
|
34 | 19 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
VSR
2 - 0
POL
42%
24%
34%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2016 |
SAR
1 - 1
VSR
35%
24%
41%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Defensores de Esquiú
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2016 |
INS
1 - 0
CDE
55%
22%
23%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
CDE
2 - 1
UNI
39%
24%
38%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
VIL
0 - 1
CDE
82%
11%
6%
|
18 | 32 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
CDE
0 - 0
CCU
44%
23%
33%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2016 |
POL
1 - 1
CDE
82%
12%
6%
|
17 | 35 | 18 | +1 |