Segunda B . Jor. 9

Vélez CF vs Novelda CF analysis

Vélez CF Novelda CF
37 ELO 39
5.4% Tilt 5.1%
5312º General ELO ranking 13112º
172º Country ELO ranking 1716º
ELO win probability
51.2%
Vélez CF
25.6%
Draw
23.2%
Novelda CF

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.2%
Win probability
Vélez CF
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
23.2%
Win probability
Novelda CF
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Vélez CF
-53%
+280%
Novelda CF

ELO progression

Vélez CF
Novelda CF
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Vélez CF
Vélez CF
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Oct. 1995
POL
Poli Almería
1 - 1
Vélez CF
VEL
69%
19%
12%
36 46 10 0
12 Oct. 1995
VEL
Vélez CF
2 - 2
Sevilla At.
SEV
29%
29%
43%
36 55 19 0
08 Oct. 1995
RJA
Real Jaén
1 - 1
Vélez CF
VEL
72%
18%
9%
35 55 20 +1
01 Oct. 1995
VEL
Vélez CF
0 - 1
Málaga
MAL
26%
29%
46%
36 73 37 -1
24 Sep. 1995
GRA
Granada
2 - 1
Vélez CF
VEL
69%
19%
12%
36 44 8 0

Matches

Novelda CF
Novelda CF
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Oct. 1995
NOV
Novelda CF
3 - 1
Córdoba CF
CCF
24%
30%
47%
37 58 21 0
12 Oct. 1995
MMA
Mármol Macael
5 - 1
Novelda CF
NOV
72%
18%
10%
38 48 10 -1
08 Oct. 1995
NOV
Novelda CF
2 - 0
Yeclano Deportivo
YEC
25%
29%
46%
36 49 13 +2
01 Oct. 1995
CAD
Cádiz
1 - 0
Novelda CF
NOV
69%
20%
11%
36 47 11 0
24 Sep. 1995
NOV
Novelda CF
0 - 0
Recreativo
REC
27%
29%
45%
36 48 12 0
X