Vélez CF vs CD Mensajero analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.6%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
23%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
17.4%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-47%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vélez CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2021 |
VEL
2 - 3
UDL
7%
18%
76%
|
39 | 71 | 32 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
UDS
0 - 0
VEL
30%
25%
45%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
VEL
2 - 0
TAM
46%
26%
28%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | +2 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
DBN
4 - 1
VEL
58%
23%
19%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
VEL
2 - 1
COR
39%
28%
33%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
CD Mensajero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2021 |
CDM
0 - 1
ZAR
6%
16%
78%
|
34 | 70 | 36 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
CDM
1 - 3
CEU
38%
26%
36%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
CDM
1 - 2
LPA
38%
27%
36%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
MAD
1 - 1
CDM
67%
21%
12%
|
35 | 48 | 13 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
CDM
1 - 0
VIL
25%
26%
49%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | +2 |