Oberliga NRW. Jor. 35

Velbert vs Speldorf analysis

Velbert Speldorf
26 ELO 36
10.4% Tilt 6%
6367º General ELO ranking 9815º
233º Country ELO ranking 484º
ELO win probability
30%
Velbert
25.2%
Draw
44.8%
Speldorf

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30%
Win probability
Velbert
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.4%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.6%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
44.8%
Win probability
Speldorf
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Velbert
-25%
+6%
Speldorf

ELO progression

Velbert
Speldorf
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Velbert
Velbert
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Apr. 2010
SPR
Sprockhövel
4 - 1
Velbert
VEL
31%
24%
45%
27 21 6 0
18 Apr. 2010
VEL
Velbert
0 - 1
Schermbeck
SCH
39%
25%
37%
28 35 7 -1
14 Apr. 2010
MSV
MSV Duisburg II
0 - 3
Velbert
VEL
65%
19%
16%
27 31 4 +1
11 Apr. 2010
KÖL
Fortuna Köln
1 - 2
Velbert
VEL
76%
15%
9%
25 41 16 +2
06 Apr. 2010
ABI
Arminia Bielefeld II
2 - 1
Velbert
VEL
73%
17%
10%
26 42 16 -1

Matches

Speldorf
Speldorf
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Apr. 2010
SPE
Speldorf
4 - 0
Westfalia Herne
WHE
33%
25%
42%
34 39 5 0
18 Apr. 2010
GEW
Germania Windeck
0 - 3
Speldorf
SPE
63%
22%
16%
32 42 10 +2
14 Apr. 2010
WAT
Wattenscheid 09
2 - 0
Speldorf
SPE
56%
22%
22%
33 31 2 -1
11 Apr. 2010
SPE
Speldorf
1 - 1
Alemannia Aachen II
AAA
38%
26%
36%
33 36 3 0
01 Apr. 2010
SCH
Schermbeck
4 - 1
Speldorf
SPE
40%
26%
34%
35 32 3 -2
X