Velbert vs Homberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.5%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.2%
12.8%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Velbert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
SCH
1 - 5
VEL
31%
24%
45%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
VEL
0 - 4
BER
65%
20%
16%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
HUL
0 - 2
VEL
22%
23%
55%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
VEL
0 - 0
KFC
67%
19%
14%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
VEL
4 - 0
RWA
16%
22%
62%
|
34 | 53 | 19 | +3 |
Matches
Homberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
VFB
2 - 1
ERN
62%
20%
18%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
WHE
1 - 0
VFB
43%
25%
32%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
VFB
1 - 1
AAA
25%
24%
51%
|
28 | 40 | 12 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
ABI
1 - 1
VFB
62%
21%
17%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
VFB
0 - 1
MSV
34%
24%
42%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | -1 |