Velbert vs Köln II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
22.5%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+43%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Velbert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2001 |
BOR
1 - 1
VEL
52%
23%
24%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2001 |
VIK
2 - 1
VEL
51%
23%
26%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2001 |
VEL
4 - 0
RHE
56%
23%
21%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2001 |
MSV
1 - 0
VEL
46%
25%
29%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2001 |
VEL
0 - 0
WEG
65%
20%
15%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Köln II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2001 |
DIE
3 - 0
FOR
47%
25%
27%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2001 |
DIE
1 - 0
FCB
74%
17%
9%
|
35 | 23 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2001 |
DIE
2 - 1
ADL
41%
25%
34%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2001 |
WUP
2 - 3
DIE
73%
17%
10%
|
32 | 46 | 14 | +2 |
| 31 Jan. 2001 |
DIE
1 - 3
BAY
21%
24%
54%
|
34 | 50 | 16 | -2 |