Velbert vs Düren analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.5%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.3%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.1%
9.4%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Velbert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2006 |
FCB
0 - 2
VEL
45%
25%
30%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2005 |
BOR
3 - 3
VEL
62%
21%
18%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2005 |
VFB
4 - 0
VEL
28%
23%
49%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | -3 |
| 13 Nov. 2005 |
MSV
1 - 3
VEL
23%
24%
53%
|
36 | 20 | 16 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2005 |
VEL
2 - 0
AAA
65%
19%
16%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Düren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2006 |
FCJ
1 - 1
DUR
38%
25%
37%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2005 |
DUR
0 - 1
KFC
17%
22%
61%
|
22 | 50 | 28 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2005 |
SWE
1 - 1
DUR
71%
17%
12%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2005 |
DUR
1 - 0
DUS
45%
24%
31%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2005 |
DUR
2 - 2
WEG
81%
13%
7%
|
22 | 12 | 10 | -1 |