Velbert vs Bergisch Gladbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.3%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.3%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.4%
11.4%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Velbert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
WER
1 - 3
VEL
29%
24%
48%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
VEL
0 - 0
AAA
55%
22%
22%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
VFB
1 - 1
VEL
37%
24%
39%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2010 |
VEL
1 - 1
KÖL
51%
22%
27%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2010 |
VEL
1 - 0
SCH
55%
22%
23%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Bergisch Gladbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
BER
1 - 0
VFB
41%
25%
34%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2010 |
KÖL
1 - 1
BER
71%
18%
12%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2010 |
ROT
3 - 1
BER
77%
16%
7%
|
27 | 55 | 28 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2010 |
BER
2 - 3
WHE
24%
24%
53%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
SPE
3 - 0
BER
65%
20%
15%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | -1 |