Velay FC vs Montluçon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.3%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
43%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Velay FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
SAE
1 - 0
VEL
78%
14%
8%
|
18 | 32 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
VEL
2 - 2
CLE
30%
23%
48%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
MOU
4 - 1
VEL
70%
16%
14%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2020 |
VEL
0 - 1
VAU
32%
23%
44%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2020 |
AUR
0 - 2
VEL
71%
17%
13%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Montluçon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
MON
1 - 0
MOU
58%
21%
21%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
MON
1 - 3
LDU
49%
23%
28%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
CHA
1 - 0
MON
45%
24%
31%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2020 |
SAE
3 - 0
MON
65%
19%
16%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2020 |
MON
2 - 0
CLE
55%
22%
23%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | +1 |