Velay FC vs Aurillac Arpajon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.3%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.3%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.8%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
42.9%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Velay FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
CLE
3 - 1
VEL
65%
18%
16%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
VEL
2 - 0
LIM
18%
21%
61%
|
17 | 32 | 15 | +3 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
VAU
3 - 0
VEL
69%
18%
13%
|
17 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
VEL
2 - 4
MON
33%
24%
43%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
SAE
1 - 0
VEL
78%
14%
8%
|
18 | 32 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Aurillac Arpajon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
AUR
4 - 1
MOU
67%
19%
14%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
HAL
4 - 2
AUR
69%
17%
14%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
AUR
1 - 2
LDU
47%
23%
30%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
AIN
2 - 2
AUR
53%
22%
25%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
CLE
2 - 2
AUR
44%
24%
32%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |