Veertien Kuwana vs Criacao Shinjuku analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.2%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
14.4%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-35%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
2º
15º
3º
5
14º
16º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
7º
|
12 | 61 |
1º
|
47.5% | |
|
1º
|
21 | 57 |
2º
|
27% | |
|
|
4º
|
15 | 51 |
3º
|
16.5% | |
|
2º
|
16 | 50 |
4º
|
14.5% | |
|
8º
|
11 | 47 |
5º
|
13% | |
|
9º
|
11 | 46 |
6º
|
10.5% | |
|
5º
|
13 | 45 |
7º
|
12.5% | |
|
10º
|
10 | 42 |
8º
|
13% | |
|
12º
|
8 | 41 |
9º
|
10.5% | |
|
13º
|
7 | 39 |
10º
|
10% | |
|
11º
|
9 | 35 |
11º
|
11.5% | |
|
3º
|
15 | 35 |
12º
|
13.5% | |
|
6º
|
13 | 35 |
13º
|
13.5% | |
|
16º
|
4 | 30 |
14º
|
16.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
5 | 25 |
15º
|
27% | |
|
15º
|
5 | 25 |
16º
|
37% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
8% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
11.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
80.5% | 49% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 27% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 24% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Veertien Kuwana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
KUS
3 - 0
VEK
35%
29%
36%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
VEK
2 - 2
MIO
55%
24%
21%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
OSV
1 - 0
VEK
18%
23%
59%
|
54 | 31 | 23 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
SUN
0 - 1
VEK
35%
27%
38%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
VEK
1 - 2
VER
48%
25%
26%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Criacao Shinjuku
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
CRS
0 - 4
OSV
65%
20%
15%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
HON
3 - 1
CRS
69%
20%
11%
|
44 | 66 | 22 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
CRS
0 - 1
VER
30%
26%
44%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
CRS
4 - 1
HON
34%
25%
41%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | +2 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
MAR
1 - 0
CRS
62%
21%
17%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | 0 |