Série A . Jor. 13

Vasco da Gama vs Vitória analysis

Vasco da Gama Vitória
81 ELO 75
1.1% Tilt -2%
196º General ELO ranking 388º
23º Country ELO ranking 29º
ELO win probability
60.4%
Vasco da Gama
22.4%
Draw
17.2%
Vitória

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.4%
Win probability
Vasco da Gama
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
17.2%
Win probability
Vitória
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Vasco da Gama
-4%
-8%
Vitória

ELO progression

Vasco da Gama
Vitória
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Vasco da Gama
Vasco da Gama
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Aug. 2010
FLA
Flamengo
0 - 0
Vasco da Gama
VAS
60%
22%
18%
81 86 5 0
24 Jul. 2010
VAS
Vasco da Gama
2 - 0
Atlético GO
ATL
65%
21%
14%
81 71 10 0
22 Jul. 2010
GRE
Grêmio
1 - 1
Vasco da Gama
VAS
60%
22%
18%
81 85 4 0
17 Jul. 2010
VAS
Vasco da Gama
3 - 1
Athletico Paranaense
ATP
55%
24%
21%
80 77 3 +1
15 Jul. 2010
GOI
Goiás EC
0 - 0
Vasco da Gama
VAS
49%
24%
28%
80 78 2 0

Matches

Vitória
Vitória
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Aug. 2010
VIT
Vitória
2 - 1
Santos FC
SAN
34%
25%
42%
75 85 10 0
01 Aug. 2010
VIT
Vitória
1 - 3
Botafogo
BOT
38%
25%
37%
75 83 8 0
29 Jul. 2010
SAN
Santos FC
2 - 0
Vitória
VIT
71%
18%
11%
76 84 8 -1
24 Jul. 2010
GRÊ
Grêmio Barueri
0 - 0
Vitória
VIT
47%
26%
27%
76 75 1 0
22 Jul. 2010
VIT
Vitória
2 - 2
Goiás EC
GOI
49%
25%
27%
76 78 2 0
X