Carioca 1 Guanabara Cup Round 1

Vasco da Gama vs Portuguesa RJ analysis

Vasco da Gama Portuguesa RJ
75 ELO 52
-11% Tilt -14.9%
150º General ELO ranking 2695º
19º Country ELO ranking 74º
ELO win probability
80.5%
Vasco da Gama
14.3%
Draw
5.2%
Portuguesa RJ

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.5%
Win probability
Vasco da Gama
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
9.5%
3-0
13.4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.1%
2-0
17.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.7%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.4%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
14.3%
5.2%
Win probability
Portuguesa RJ
0.43
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Vasco da Gama
-16%
-6%
Portuguesa RJ

ELO progression

Vasco da Gama
Portuguesa RJ
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Vasco da Gama
Vasco da Gama
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Feb. 2021
VAS
Vasco da Gama
3 - 2
Goiás EC
GOI
47%
26%
27%
76 72 4 0
21 Feb. 2021
COR
Corinthians
0 - 0
Vasco da Gama
VAS
60%
24%
16%
75 83 8 +1
14 Feb. 2021
VAS
Vasco da Gama
0 - 2
Internacional
SCI
24%
28%
48%
76 86 10 -1
10 Feb. 2021
FOR
Fortaleza EC
3 - 0
Vasco da Gama
VAS
49%
27%
24%
77 79 2 -1
05 Feb. 2021
FLA
Flamengo
2 - 0
Vasco da Gama
VAS
78%
15%
8%
77 88 11 0

Matches

Portuguesa RJ
Portuguesa RJ
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Nov. 2020
TCW
Toledo EC
0 - 1
Portuguesa RJ
POR
25%
25%
50%
50 39 11 0
21 Nov. 2020
POR
Portuguesa RJ
0 - 0
Ferroviária
FER
24%
28%
49%
50 62 12 0
14 Nov. 2020
BAN
Bangu
0 - 3
Portuguesa RJ
POR
46%
26%
28%
49 50 1 +1
07 Nov. 2020
NPR
Nacional PR
0 - 5
Portuguesa RJ
POR
15%
24%
61%
48 28 20 +1
31 Oct. 2020
POR
Portuguesa RJ
2 - 2
Cabofriense
CAB
31%
25%
44%
48 51 3 0