Carioca 1 Copa Guanabara. Jor. 3

Vasco da Gama vs Nova Iguaçu analysis

Vasco da Gama Nova Iguaçu
72 ELO 51
1.8% Tilt -6%
202º General ELO ranking 2678º
23º Country ELO ranking 79º
ELO win probability
79.6%
Vasco da Gama
14%
Draw
6.4%
Nova Iguaçu

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.6%
Win probability
Vasco da Gama
2.5
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.8%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.1%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
14%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14%
6.4%
Win probability
Nova Iguaçu
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Vasco da Gama
+12%
+58%
Nova Iguaçu

ELO progression

Vasco da Gama
Nova Iguaçu
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Vasco da Gama
Vasco da Gama
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Jan. 2022
VAS
Vasco da Gama
1 - 1
Boavista SC
BOA
80%
14%
6%
72 50 22 0
26 Jan. 2022
VOL
Volta Redonda
2 - 4
Vasco da Gama
VAS
32%
25%
43%
71 61 10 +1
28 Nov. 2021
LON
Londrina
3 - 0
Vasco da Gama
VAS
29%
28%
43%
72 64 8 -1
19 Nov. 2021
VAS
Vasco da Gama
2 - 2
Remo
REM
63%
22%
14%
72 61 11 0
15 Nov. 2021
VIL
Vila Nova
2 - 2
Vasco da Gama
VAS
30%
30%
41%
72 67 5 0

Matches

Nova Iguaçu
Nova Iguaçu
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Jan. 2022
RES
Resende
1 - 0
Nova Iguaçu
NOV
29%
26%
45%
52 45 7 0
26 Jan. 2022
AUD
Audax Rio
0 - 0
Nova Iguaçu
NOV
32%
26%
42%
52 47 5 0
13 Aug. 2021
AFC
Artsul FC
2 - 0
Nova Iguaçu
NOV
22%
24%
54%
53 43 10 -1
04 Aug. 2021
NOV
Nova Iguaçu
1 - 0
Artsul FC
AFC
60%
22%
18%
53 42 11 0
09 May. 2021
NOV
Nova Iguaçu
0 - 1
Botafogo
BOT
18%
24%
58%
53 68 15 0
X