Vasco da Gama vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.2%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
15.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.6%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24.4%
16.4%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
GRE
2 - 1
VAS
77%
16%
8%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
BRU
1 - 0
VAS
28%
28%
44%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2022 |
VAS
2 - 1
GUA
53%
26%
21%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
BAH
2 - 1
VAS
56%
24%
20%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2022 |
CSA
2 - 0
VAS
37%
28%
35%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
NAU
1 - 0
BRU
42%
27%
32%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
NAU
2 - 0
ITU
31%
28%
41%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2022 |
CSA
2 - 0
NAU
59%
24%
17%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
CRZ
4 - 0
NAU
66%
22%
12%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
NAU
1 - 2
VIL
44%
27%
29%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |