Vasco da Gama vs Madureira RJ analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.5%
4-0
8.9%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.2%
3-0
13.8%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.3%
2-0
16%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.3%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.3%
12.4%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
12.4%
4.6%
Win probability
0.46
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.8%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2012 |
VAS
3 - 2
ALI
66%
20%
14%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
OLA
0 - 2
VAS
10%
19%
71%
|
83 | 56 | 27 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
VAS
2 - 2
BON
84%
12%
4%
|
83 | 50 | 33 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
VAS
1 - 3
FLU
48%
25%
28%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2012 |
VAS
2 - 1
FLA
55%
24%
21%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Madureira RJ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
MAD
2 - 1
AME
54%
23%
23%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2012 |
VOL
3 - 0
MAD
42%
25%
33%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
MAD
2 - 2
NOV
58%
23%
19%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
RES
2 - 1
MAD
46%
24%
30%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2012 |
FLA
1 - 0
MAD
78%
15%
7%
|
56 | 81 | 25 | 0 |