Vasco da Gama vs Gama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.1%
Win probability
2.98
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.5%
5-0
5.6%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.4%
4-0
9.4%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.1%
3-0
12.6%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.3%
10.3%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
10.3%
4.5%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 1999 |
COT
3 - 1
VAS
32%
27%
41%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1999 |
FLA
0 - 1
VAS
52%
24%
24%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1999 |
VAS
1 - 2
SAO
59%
22%
19%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1999 |
VAS
2 - 0
SCI
65%
20%
15%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1999 |
COR
2 - 4
VAS
56%
23%
21%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 1999 |
GAM
3 - 2
SPO
29%
28%
43%
|
61 | 77 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1999 |
GAM
0 - 0
JUV
31%
27%
42%
|
61 | 76 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1999 |
SAO
1 - 2
GAM
85%
10%
4%
|
60 | 81 | 21 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 1999 |
GAM
2 - 1
GRE
19%
24%
57%
|
59 | 80 | 21 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 1999 |
SCI
0 - 1
GAM
81%
14%
6%
|
58 | 79 | 21 | +1 |