Copa do Brasil 1/32
Global 6-0
Vasco da Gama vs Flamengo PI analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
85.4%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
5.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
<0%
+5
5.8%
4-0
9.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
11.7%
3-0
15.5%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.1%
2-0
18.2%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.9%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
6%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.2%
11.4%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
1%
3-3
0.1%
0
11.4%
3.2%
Win probability
0.33
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.1%
-1
2.7%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2004 |
VAS
0 - 0
AME
72%
19%
10%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2004 |
BOT
1 - 1
VAS
25%
24%
51%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2004 |
FLA
0 - 1
VAS
10%
18%
72%
|
83 | 55 | 28 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2004 |
BAN
1 - 2
VAS
18%
25%
57%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2004 |
OLA
0 - 3
VAS
13%
19%
68%
|
83 | 60 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Flamengo PI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2004 |
FLA
0 - 1
VAS
10%
18%
72%
|
55 | 83 | 28 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2003 |
FLU
2 - 0
FLA
90%
8%
2%
|
55 | 82 | 27 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2003 |
FLA
1 - 2
FLU
8%
17%
74%
|
56 | 82 | 26 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2003 |
FLA
1 - 0
COR
64%
20%
17%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2003 |
COR
0 - 1
FLA
44%
24%
32%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |