Vasco da Gama vs Corinthians analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.2%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.8%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
49.5%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2017 |
GRE
2 - 0
VAS
61%
22%
17%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2017 |
VAS
3 - 2
FLU
36%
28%
36%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
VAS
2 - 1
BAH
51%
27%
23%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
PAL
4 - 0
VAS
67%
20%
13%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
FLU
3 - 0
VAS
55%
23%
21%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Corinthians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2017 |
COR
2 - 0
SAN
44%
27%
29%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2017 |
ATL
0 - 1
COR
18%
25%
56%
|
86 | 69 | 17 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
VIT
0 - 1
COR
28%
26%
47%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
COR
1 - 1
CHA
62%
23%
15%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2017 |
UCH
1 - 2
COR
30%
26%
43%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | +1 |