Vasco da Gama vs Avaí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
14.1%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2011 |
PAL
1 - 1
VAS
39%
26%
35%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
VAS
2 - 0
BOT
48%
25%
27%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2011 |
VAS
5 - 2
UNI
71%
19%
10%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
SAN
2 - 0
VAS
52%
24%
24%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2011 |
UNI
2 - 0
VAS
25%
25%
50%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2011 |
AVA
0 - 0
CRZ
29%
26%
46%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
SAO
2 - 0
AVA
58%
24%
19%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
AVA
1 - 2
CEA
52%
25%
24%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
COR
2 - 1
AVA
61%
22%
17%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
AVA
3 - 2
BOT
33%
26%
41%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | +1 |