Vasco da Gama vs Ideal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.9%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.1%
2-0
4%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.6%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.2%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
44.8%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
CAS
2 - 1
VAS
81%
13%
6%
|
31 | 46 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
VAS
4 - 0
FER
48%
21%
31%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | +2 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
ARM
1 - 1
VAS
72%
16%
12%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
VAS
2 - 1
SAC
18%
25%
57%
|
25 | 44 | 19 | +3 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
VAS
3 - 0
ANG
27%
21%
52%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | +3 |
Matches
Ideal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
IDE
2 - 0
FER
66%
18%
16%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
SAC
2 - 1
IDE
55%
24%
21%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
IDE
1 - 2
REA
19%
25%
56%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
ANG
0 - 1
IDE
31%
24%
45%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
IDE
2 - 2
OLI
45%
26%
30%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |