Varzim vs Vitória Setúbal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.7%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
9%
2-1
5%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
11.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27.7%
50.6%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
15.6%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.9%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
15.3%
0-3
5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 1969 |
SPB
1 - 0
VAR
58%
23%
19%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1969 |
VAR
1 - 1
BEL
45%
27%
28%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1969 |
SLB
3 - 1
VAR
85%
10%
5%
|
61 | 88 | 27 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1969 |
VAR
1 - 1
FCP
24%
27%
49%
|
61 | 85 | 24 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1969 |
ACA
0 - 0
VAR
81%
13%
6%
|
60 | 78 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 1969 |
NEW
5 - 1
VST
55%
23%
22%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1969 |
VST
1 - 1
LEX
83%
13%
5%
|
83 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1969 |
SAN
1 - 4
VST
16%
28%
55%
|
83 | 58 | 25 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1969 |
UFT
0 - 0
VST
30%
24%
46%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1969 |
VST
3 - 0
SPB
83%
13%
5%
|
83 | 64 | 19 | 0 |