Varzim vs Vitória Guimarães analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.8%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
14%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.9%
30%
Draw
0-0
12.5%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30%
31%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 1987 |
VAR
3 - 2
FAR
52%
27%
20%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1987 |
MAR
1 - 1
VAR
57%
26%
17%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1987 |
VAR
0 - 1
BOA
45%
28%
27%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 May. 1987 |
VAR
0 - 2
FCP
16%
28%
57%
|
63 | 88 | 25 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1987 |
SPB
2 - 1
VAR
59%
25%
16%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 1987 |
SCP
1 - 1
VIT
77%
16%
8%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1987 |
VIT
2 - 3
BEL
75%
16%
9%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 May. 1987 |
POR
1 - 1
VIT
36%
30%
34%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1987 |
VIT
2 - 0
ACA
74%
17%
10%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1987 |
SAL
0 - 0
VIT
37%
30%
33%
|
78 | 60 | 18 | 0 |