Varzim vs Vilaverdense FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
15.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.8%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.9%
15.1%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
-55%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
1º
5º
5º
40
1º
7º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 44 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
40 | 40 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 36 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
33 | 33 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 30 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 29 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 28 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 23 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 21 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
12 | 12 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2022 |
VAR
1 - 0
SAO
71%
20%
9%
|
59 | 42 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2022 |
VAR
2 - 0
VSC
70%
20%
10%
|
59 | 36 | 23 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
SAO
1 - 0
VAR
18%
27%
55%
|
60 | 40 | 20 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
VAR
2 - 1
MON
75%
19%
7%
|
60 | 30 | 30 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
VAR
1 - 0
SCP
4%
14%
82%
|
59 | 88 | 29 | +1 |
Matches
Vilaverdense FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2022 |
VIL
7 - 0
OLI
62%
21%
17%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2022 |
VIL
1 - 1
SAO
63%
21%
16%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
MON
1 - 2
VIL
16%
22%
62%
|
47 | 30 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
VIL
0 - 0
SAN
58%
22%
20%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
VIL
2 - 0
POR
10%
18%
72%
|
45 | 70 | 25 | +2 |