Segunda Liga Round 26

Varzim vs Trofense analysis

Varzim Trofense
63 ELO 66
-12.7% Tilt -2.9%
3351º General ELO ranking 4035º
56º Country ELO ranking 72º
ELO win probability
41.9%
Varzim
28%
Draw
30.1%
Trofense

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.9%
Win probability
Varzim
1.28
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
28%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28%
30.1%
Win probability
Trofense
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Varzim
+17%
+2%
Trofense

ELO progression

Varzim
Trofense
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Varzim
Varzim
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Apr. 2008
EST
Estoril
1 - 0
Varzim
VAR
51%
25%
25%
64 63 1 0
30 Mar. 2008
VAR
Varzim
2 - 0
Beira Mar SC
BMA
38%
28%
34%
63 67 4 +1
16 Mar. 2008
OLH
Olhanense
2 - 1
Varzim
VAR
44%
27%
29%
63 63 0 0
09 Mar. 2008
VAR
Varzim
0 - 1
Penafiel
PEN
48%
27%
25%
64 62 2 -1
02 Mar. 2008
SCF
SC Freamunde
1 - 1
Varzim
VAR
42%
26%
32%
64 59 5 0

Matches

Trofense
Trofense
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Apr. 2008
SAN
CD Santa Clara
0 - 4
Trofense
TRO
40%
28%
32%
65 59 6 0
30 Mar. 2008
TRO
Trofense
2 - 0
Estoril
EST
43%
28%
29%
64 64 0 +1
16 Mar. 2008
BMA
Beira Mar SC
1 - 0
Trofense
TRO
56%
24%
20%
65 67 2 -1
09 Mar. 2008
TRO
Trofense
2 - 2
Olhanense
OLH
49%
28%
23%
65 63 2 0
02 Mar. 2008
PEN
Penafiel
0 - 1
Trofense
TRO
45%
27%
28%
64 62 2 +1