Segunda Liga . Jor. 31

Varzim vs Sporting Braga II analysis

Varzim Sporting Braga II
57 ELO 55
-14.9% Tilt -10.2%
4566º General ELO ranking 4302º
70º Country ELO ranking 66º
ELO win probability
48.4%
Varzim
27.7%
Draw
23.9%
Sporting Braga II

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.4%
Win probability
Varzim
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
10%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.7%
23.9%
Win probability
Sporting Braga II
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Varzim
-40%
+56%
Sporting Braga II

ELO progression

Varzim
Sporting Braga II
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Varzim
Varzim
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Mar. 2018
NAC
Nacional
3 - 0
Varzim
VAR
66%
21%
13%
58 65 7 0
10 Mar. 2018
OLI
UD Oliveirense
0 - 0
Varzim
VAR
48%
26%
27%
57 56 1 +1
04 Mar. 2018
VAR
Varzim
1 - 1
CD Santa Clara
SAN
34%
30%
36%
57 63 6 0
25 Feb. 2018
ARO
Arouca
1 - 2
Varzim
VAR
62%
23%
14%
57 66 9 0
18 Feb. 2018
VAR
Varzim
2 - 0
Famalicão
FAM
43%
29%
28%
56 56 0 +1

Matches

Sporting Braga II
Sporting Braga II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Mar. 2018
SPC
SC Covilha
1 - 0
Sporting Braga II
BRA
52%
27%
22%
55 59 4 0
17 Mar. 2018
BRA
Sporting Braga II
1 - 2
Real Sport Clube
REA
60%
22%
18%
56 51 5 -1
10 Mar. 2018
NAC
Nacional
2 - 1
Sporting Braga II
BRA
67%
20%
12%
56 65 9 0
04 Mar. 2018
BRA
Sporting Braga II
1 - 0
Famalicão
FAM
52%
25%
22%
56 56 0 0
24 Feb. 2018
OLI
UD Oliveirense
2 - 3
Sporting Braga II
BRA
53%
25%
22%
55 56 1 +1
X