Varzim vs São João Ver analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.3%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.1%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
16%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
16.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.4%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
19.6%
9%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2022 |
VAR
2 - 0
VSC
70%
20%
10%
|
57 | 34 | 23 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
SAO
1 - 0
VAR
18%
27%
55%
|
57 | 37 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
VAR
2 - 1
MON
75%
19%
7%
|
58 | 27 | 31 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
VAR
1 - 0
SCP
4%
14%
82%
|
56 | 88 | 32 | +2 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
SAN
0 - 0
VAR
21%
28%
51%
|
56 | 41 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
São João Ver
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2022 |
VIL
1 - 1
SAO
63%
21%
16%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
SAO
1 - 0
VAR
18%
27%
55%
|
37 | 57 | 20 | +2 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
SAO
2 - 1
VSC
42%
24%
35%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
MON
1 - 3
SAO
32%
26%
43%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
MON
2 - 2
SAO
31%
24%
45%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | 0 |