Varzim vs Os Limianos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.9%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.6%
11.5%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+59%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
CHA
0 - 0
VAR
32%
30%
38%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
VAR
2 - 0
FAM
45%
28%
27%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
MAC
2 - 2
VAR
26%
26%
48%
|
63 | 45 | 18 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
VAR
1 - 0
VIZ
54%
26%
20%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
TIR
0 - 1
VAR
53%
26%
21%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Os Limianos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
OSL
2 - 0
LOU
59%
22%
18%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
CAM
0 - 1
OSL
47%
25%
28%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
OSL
0 - 1
MIR
40%
25%
35%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
OSL
1 - 1
CHA
28%
27%
45%
|
46 | 58 | 12 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
FAM
1 - 0
OSL
71%
19%
10%
|
47 | 62 | 15 | -1 |