Varzim vs Marítimo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.4%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.4%
29.9%
Draw
0-0
12.3%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.9%
39.8%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
14%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 1998 |
SAL
3 - 1
VAR
75%
16%
9%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1998 |
VAR
0 - 0
SLB
10%
22%
68%
|
63 | 87 | 24 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 1998 |
BOA
2 - 0
VAR
82%
12%
5%
|
64 | 81 | 17 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 1998 |
VAR
1 - 2
VIT
23%
29%
48%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1998 |
CHA
2 - 1
VAR
53%
25%
22%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Marítimo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 1998 |
MAR
2 - 0
BEL
73%
17%
10%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1998 |
MAR
1 - 4
SAL
59%
23%
18%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 1998 |
SLB
3 - 1
MAR
68%
20%
11%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1998 |
MAR
1 - 0
BOA
36%
26%
38%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1998 |
VIT
0 - 0
MAR
63%
22%
16%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |