Varzim vs Lusitano FCV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.5%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.9%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
20%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20%
11.5%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-42%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
VAR
3 - 1
MIR
67%
22%
12%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
SOU
2 - 2
VAR
23%
26%
51%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
FAF
2 - 1
VAR
30%
27%
44%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
VAR
2 - 0
SAL
65%
22%
14%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
CES
0 - 2
VAR
21%
25%
54%
|
54 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Lusitano FCV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
LUS
2 - 1
SAL
43%
26%
31%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
MIR
2 - 0
LUS
47%
26%
28%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | -2 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
CES
1 - 0
LUS
41%
27%
32%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
LUS
1 - 2
SOU
52%
24%
24%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
LUS
0 - 1
FAM
26%
25%
50%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | 0 |