Varzim vs Leixões analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.3%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
30.4%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2005 |
AVE
0 - 0
VAR
44%
26%
30%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2005 |
VAR
1 - 1
FCM
40%
26%
34%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2005 |
SAN
3 - 0
VAR
38%
27%
36%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2005 |
VAR
2 - 1
CHA
54%
25%
21%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2005 |
PAÇ
1 - 0
VAR
56%
24%
20%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Leixões
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2005 |
LEX
0 - 0
FCM
41%
26%
33%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2005 |
CHA
2 - 0
LEX
35%
27%
38%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2005 |
LEX
2 - 2
FEL
58%
24%
17%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2005 |
ALV
0 - 1
LEX
38%
27%
35%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2005 |
LEX
4 - 2
ESP
56%
25%
20%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | +1 |