Prev. Taça da Liga 1st Round Final
Global 1-2
Varzim vs Fatima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.1%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
24%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2009 |
FAT
2 - 0
VAR
38%
25%
37%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2009 |
VAR
0 - 2
VIZ
40%
28%
31%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
SPC
1 - 1
VAR
53%
24%
23%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
VAR
0 - 3
EST
42%
28%
30%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
GFC
1 - 2
VAR
66%
21%
14%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Fatima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2009 |
FAT
2 - 0
VAR
38%
25%
37%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2008 |
CIN
1 - 0
FAT
27%
25%
48%
|
54 | 39 | 15 | -2 |
| 11 May. 2008 |
FAT
0 - 1
EST
34%
27%
39%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2008 |
BMA
2 - 1
FAT
72%
18%
9%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2008 |
FAT
0 - 1
OLH
34%
29%
37%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |