Varzim vs Fafe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.6%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
21.8%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
3º
8º
4º
14
1º
6º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
30 | 30 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
26 | 26 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
22 | 22 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
21 | 21 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
14 | 14 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
14 | 14 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
13 | 13 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
13 | 13 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2025 |
1DE
0 - 3
VAR
27%
29%
44%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2025 |
SCP
2 - 0
VAR
45%
27%
28%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
VAR
0 - 0
BEL
43%
27%
30%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
ATL
0 - 2
VAR
43%
28%
29%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
VAR
4 - 0
LUS
29%
28%
43%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | +2 |
Matches
Fafe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2025 |
FAF
1 - 2
SCP
35%
27%
38%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2025 |
BEL
3 - 2
FAF
51%
25%
24%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
FAF
2 - 0
ATL
38%
27%
36%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2025 |
LUS
2 - 1
FAF
64%
22%
14%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
FAF
1 - 1
AMA
36%
28%
37%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |