Varzim vs Fafe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.3%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25.1%
19.6%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+42%
+47%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2015 |
SAL
0 - 2
VAR
21%
22%
56%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
VAR
3 - 0
CES
64%
22%
14%
|
56 | 43 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
FAM
2 - 1
VAR
50%
25%
26%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
VAR
0 - 0
LUS
69%
20%
12%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
VAR
3 - 1
MIR
67%
22%
12%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Fafe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2015 |
FAF
0 - 4
MIR
64%
22%
14%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
SOU
0 - 0
FAF
30%
28%
42%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
LUS
1 - 3
FAF
36%
27%
38%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
FAF
3 - 2
SAL
60%
23%
17%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
CES
1 - 2
FAF
31%
29%
40%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | +1 |