Varzim vs Cesarense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.1%
13.9%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2015 |
FAM
2 - 1
VAR
50%
25%
26%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
VAR
0 - 0
LUS
69%
20%
12%
|
54 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
VAR
3 - 1
MIR
67%
22%
12%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
SOU
2 - 2
VAR
23%
26%
51%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
FAF
2 - 1
VAR
30%
27%
44%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Cesarense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2015 |
CES
1 - 0
MIR
43%
28%
29%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
SOU
2 - 2
CES
49%
26%
25%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
CES
1 - 2
FAF
31%
29%
40%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
SAL
2 - 1
CES
52%
24%
24%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
CES
1 - 0
LUS
41%
27%
32%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | +1 |