Varesina vs Gozzano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.3%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.7%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
<0%
+1
10%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
23.6%
63.2%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
17%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.3%
0-2
14.2%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
19.8%
0-3
7.9%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
10.2%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+73%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varesina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2017 |
CAS
0 - 1
VAR
63%
22%
15%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
VAR
0 - 1
INV
23%
22%
55%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
CHI
0 - 1
VAR
80%
14%
7%
|
27 | 42 | 15 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2017 |
VAR
3 - 1
BOR
50%
22%
29%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
SER
0 - 0
VAR
67%
19%
14%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Gozzano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2017 |
GOZ
3 - 0
ASD
72%
18%
10%
|
51 | 37 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
OLG
2 - 0
GOZ
12%
24%
64%
|
52 | 30 | 22 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
ASD
0 - 1
GOZ
17%
25%
58%
|
52 | 34 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2017 |
GOZ
1 - 0
VAR
35%
27%
38%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
CAS
1 - 1
GOZ
13%
24%
63%
|
51 | 31 | 20 | 0 |