FK Vardar vs KF Besa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.2%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
23.1%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+91%
+9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
6º
12º
6º
33
7º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
70 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 56 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 22 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Vardar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2025 |
VAR
1 - 0
SIL
24%
25%
51%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2025 |
FCS
0 - 2
VAR
66%
22%
12%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | +2 |
| 16 Feb. 2025 |
VAR
1 - 2
SHK
21%
26%
53%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2025 |
RAP
1 - 3
VAR
74%
16%
10%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
VAR
1 - 1
FCU
46%
25%
29%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
KF Besa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2025 |
BES
0 - 0
GOS
20%
27%
53%
|
52 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2025 |
VOK
2 - 0
BES
46%
26%
28%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
FCS
0 - 1
BES
69%
19%
13%
|
53 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2025 |
BES
4 - 1
BRE
41%
25%
34%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
BES
2 - 0
PEL
35%
25%
39%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |