Vard vs Ørn Horten analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.7%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.2%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.7%
14.6%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2005 |
S08
2 - 0
VAR
67%
18%
14%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2005 |
VAR
5 - 0
TOL
53%
22%
25%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Jul. 2005 |
BAR
4 - 1
VAR
43%
24%
34%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2005 |
VAR
5 - 1
FRA
84%
11%
5%
|
54 | 39 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2005 |
KVI
0 - 1
VAR
24%
23%
53%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Ørn Horten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2005 |
ORN
1 - 1
BAR
32%
24%
44%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2005 |
FRA
2 - 3
ORN
29%
23%
48%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Jul. 2005 |
KVI
1 - 2
ORN
40%
24%
36%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2005 |
ORN
0 - 1
MFC
76%
14%
10%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2005 |
NOT
2 - 0
ORN
60%
21%
19%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | -1 |