Vard vs Nord analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.6%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.4%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.1%
11.3%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 1976 |
VAR
3 - 4
FFK
34%
26%
41%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1976 |
MFK
3 - 1
VAR
79%
15%
6%
|
56 | 73 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1976 |
VAR
2 - 0
STR
18%
22%
60%
|
54 | 74 | 20 | +2 |
| 26 Sep. 1976 |
VAR
0 - 1
IKS
26%
26%
48%
|
54 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1976 |
BRY
1 - 1
VAR
76%
16%
8%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | 0 |