Vard vs Hønefoss analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.9%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
19.5%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2017 |
VAR
0 - 6
HAU
12%
17%
71%
|
50 | 73 | 23 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
BYA
3 - 1
VAR
29%
25%
47%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | -2 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
VAR
2 - 1
VIN
60%
19%
20%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
VID
1 - 1
VAR
42%
24%
35%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
VAR
2 - 0
NOT
48%
22%
30%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Hønefoss
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2017 |
HON
1 - 1
EGE
47%
25%
28%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
NAR
2 - 0
HON
35%
26%
40%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | -2 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
BYA
0 - 0
HON
33%
24%
43%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
HON
4 - 1
VIN
47%
22%
31%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2017 |
ORN
2 - 0
HON
15%
20%
65%
|
50 | 24 | 26 | -2 |