2. Division Round 15

Vard vs Florø analysis

Vard Florø
55 ELO 47
19.8% Tilt 17.1%
5069º General ELO ranking 24325º
70º Country ELO ranking 218º
ELO win probability
68%
Vard
17.7%
Draw
14.3%
Florø

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68%
Win probability
Vard
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.3%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.7%
14.3%
Win probability
Florø
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Vard
-9%
-16%
Florø

ELO progression

Vard
Florø
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Vard
Vard
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Aug. 2014
STO
Stord
1 - 3
Vard
VAR
25%
22%
53%
55 42 13 0
13 Jul. 2014
ALG
Ålgård
0 - 4
Vard
VAR
18%
21%
62%
55 37 18 0
05 Jul. 2014
VAR
Vard
3 - 0
Förde
FOR
76%
15%
10%
54 42 12 +1
29 Jun. 2014
ASA
Åsane
0 - 2
Vard
VAR
21%
22%
57%
54 42 12 0
22 Jun. 2014
VAR
Vard
3 - 1
Fana
FAN
69%
17%
14%
54 44 10 0

Matches

Florø
Florø
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Aug. 2014
FLO
Florø
1 - 2
Egersund
EGE
59%
21%
21%
48 44 4 0
13 Jul. 2014
FLO
Florø
2 - 2
Lyn 1896 FK
LYN
36%
24%
40%
47 53 6 +1
05 Jul. 2014
VID
Vidar
1 - 1
Florø
FLO
42%
23%
35%
47 45 2 0
28 Jun. 2014
FLO
Florø
2 - 0
Brann II
BRA
63%
19%
18%
47 39 8 0
18 Jun. 2014
STA
Stabæk II
1 - 2
Florø
FLO
25%
22%
53%
47 34 13 0