Vard vs Fana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.7%
Win probability
3.02
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.5%
5-0
5.2%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.2%
4-0
8.6%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.7%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.5%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.3%
10.8%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.8%
5.4%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2006 |
MAN
0 - 3
VAR
44%
24%
32%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2006 |
VAR
2 - 0
ASA
87%
9%
4%
|
54 | 33 | 21 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2006 |
AFK
1 - 0
VAR
12%
18%
70%
|
55 | 32 | 23 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2006 |
FFC
1 - 0
VAR
19%
21%
60%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2006 |
VAR
1 - 1
STO
87%
9%
4%
|
56 | 34 | 22 | -1 |
Matches
Fana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2006 |
FAN
1 - 0
FFC
37%
24%
39%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2006 |
STO
1 - 4
FAN
46%
22%
32%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2006 |
FAN
2 - 2
ALG
40%
23%
37%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2006 |
FYL
1 - 1
FAN
72%
17%
12%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2006 |
FAN
3 - 4
VIK
29%
27%
44%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | -1 |