National 3 Group C Round 3

Vannes vs AF Virois analysis

Vannes AF Virois
44 ELO 52
3.3% Tilt 0.6%
6621º General ELO ranking 4738º
192º Country ELO ranking 112º
ELO win probability
24%
Vannes
22.1%
Draw
54%
AF Virois

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24%
Win probability
Vannes
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.3%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
53.9%
Win probability
AF Virois
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Vannes
+5%
+10%
AF Virois

Points and table prediction

Vannes
Their league position
AF Virois
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
1
3
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Stade Rennais II
3
53
28.5%
AF Virois
3
53
21.5%
Vitré
11º
1
46
19%
Guingamp II
14º
0
44
15.5%
Union Sportive Fougères
3
38
10%
Saint-Pierre Milizac
13º
0
36
10.5%
Vannes
10º
1
36
9%
OC Cesson
1
34
12.5%
Stade Lavallois II
1
34
8%
Alençon
1
33
10º
10.5%
Lannion
1
31
11º
14%
Pontivy
1
28
12º
13%
Stade Brestois II
1
20
13º
21.5%
Ergué-Gaberic
12º
0
20
14º
33%
Expected probabilities
Vannes
AF Virois
Promotion
1% 38.5%
Mid-table
77.5% 61%
Relegation
21.5% 0.5%

ELO progression

Vannes
AF Virois
Union Sportive Fougères
Guingamp II
Vitré
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Vannes
Vannes
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Aug. 2025
ERG
Ergué-Gaberic
0 - 5
Vannes
VAN
28%
24%
48%
43 35 8 0
23 Aug. 2025
VAN
Vannes
0 - 0
Pontivy
PON
57%
22%
21%
43 40 3 0
17 May. 2025
VAN
Vannes
1 - 2
Saint-Pierre Milizac
SPM
36%
25%
40%
44 49 5 -1
10 May. 2025
GUI
Guingamp II
0 - 3
Vannes
VAN
66%
20%
15%
41 51 10 +3
26 Apr. 2025
VAN
Vannes
1 - 1
OC Cesson
CES
51%
23%
26%
41 41 0 0

Matches

AF Virois
AF Virois
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Aug. 2025
AFV
AF Virois
2 - 1
Guingamp II
GUI
50%
23%
26%
51 50 1 0
23 Aug. 2025
AFV
AF Virois
2 - 1
Ergué-Gaberic
ERG
78%
15%
7%
51 35 16 0
17 May. 2025
AFV
AF Virois
1 - 2
OC Cesson
CES
60%
22%
19%
52 42 10 -1
10 May. 2025
FLE
FC Flérien
0 - 2
AF Virois
AFV
25%
23%
53%
51 39 12 +1
26 Apr. 2025
PON
Pontivy
0 - 2
AF Virois
AFV
21%
23%
56%
50 44 6 +1