Vänersborgs FK vs Vänersborgs IF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.2%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.3%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
59.1%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.8%
0-4
3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
1º
9º
9º
27
8º
14º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
61 | 61 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 47 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
45 | 45 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 39 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 38 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 28 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 24 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 24 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 17 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vänersborgs FK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
SKS
1 - 2
VFK
41%
22%
36%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2024 |
VFK
1 - 3
KON
21%
23%
57%
|
31 | 52 | 21 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
GAU
1 - 6
VFK
63%
19%
19%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | +2 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
VFK
1 - 0
BKF
29%
22%
50%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2023 |
STE
1 - 1
VFK
66%
18%
16%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Vänersborgs IF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
VAN
1 - 0
MOT
31%
25%
44%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
STE
1 - 0
VAN
22%
24%
55%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2024 |
VAN
0 - 1
SKO
55%
23%
22%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
NOR
4 - 1
VAN
72%
17%
12%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
VAN
3 - 2
ATV
48%
25%
27%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | -1 |