Esiliiga Relegation Group Round 1

Vändra JK Vaprus vs Pärnu Jalgpalliklubi analysis

Vändra JK Vaprus Pärnu Jalgpalliklubi
43 ELO 50
36.3% Tilt 14.6%
22703º General ELO ranking 31089º
120º Country ELO ranking 192º
ELO win probability
42.5%
Vändra JK Vaprus
22.3%
Draw
35.2%
Pärnu Jalgpalliklubi

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.6%
Win probability
Vändra JK Vaprus
1.83
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.7%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.3%
35.2%
Win probability
Pärnu Jalgpalliklubi
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.7%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Vändra JK Vaprus
+6%
-30%
Pärnu Jalgpalliklubi

ELO progression

Vändra JK Vaprus
Pärnu Jalgpalliklubi
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Vändra JK Vaprus
Vändra JK Vaprus
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Oct. 2020
LEV
Levadia Tallinn II
2 - 0
Vändra JK Vaprus
VAN
61%
20%
20%
46 50 4 0
16 Oct. 2020
PAR
Vaprus Pärnu
6 - 2
Vändra JK Vaprus
VAN
75%
15%
10%
47 59 12 -1
08 Oct. 2020
VAN
Vändra JK Vaprus
1 - 0
Alliance FC
JKJ
82%
11%
7%
47 34 13 0
04 Oct. 2020
VAN
Vändra JK Vaprus
1 - 0
Tammeka II
TAM
35%
22%
43%
45 51 6 +2
30 Sep. 2020
TIN
FCI Tallinn
2 - 0
Vändra JK Vaprus
VAN
79%
13%
9%
46 54 8 -1

Matches

Pärnu Jalgpalliklubi
Pärnu Jalgpalliklubi
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Oct. 2020
FCP
Pärnu Jalgpalliklubi
1 - 1
Vaprus Pärnu
PAR
27%
24%
49%
49 59 10 0
17 Oct. 2020
NOM
Nõmme United
1 - 1
Pärnu Jalgpalliklubi
FCP
76%
14%
10%
49 57 8 0
11 Oct. 2020
FCP
Pärnu Jalgpalliklubi
2 - 3
FC Flora Tallin II
FLO
33%
25%
42%
50 58 8 -1
06 Oct. 2020
LEV
Levadia Tallinn II
1 - 1
Pärnu Jalgpalliklubi
FCP
48%
22%
30%
50 49 1 0
01 Oct. 2020
FCP
Pärnu Jalgpalliklubi
0 - 3
FC Elva
FCE
46%
24%
30%
51 53 2 -1