Vancouver Thunderbirds vs Pacific analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.5%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
22.2%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vancouver Thunderbirds
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2007 |
VAN
1 - 0
SUC
70%
18%
12%
|
58 | 42 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2007 |
OCC
1 - 2
VAN
32%
25%
43%
|
58 | 43 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2007 |
KAM
0 - 3
VAN
32%
26%
42%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2007 |
SUC
3 - 2
VAN
28%
25%
46%
|
58 | 41 | 17 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2007 |
VAN
1 - 2
PAS
63%
21%
16%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Pacific
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2007 |
FKP
1 - 0
VUF
31%
24%
45%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2007 |
FKP
4 - 1
SUC
66%
20%
14%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2007 |
PAS
2 - 2
FKP
46%
25%
29%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2007 |
PSR
0 - 0
FKP
20%
23%
57%
|
54 | 39 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2006 |
PSR
0 - 1
FKP
21%
23%
56%
|
53 | 38 | 15 | +1 |