Valur Reykjavík vs FH Hafnarfjordur analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.7%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
21.4%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
2º
8º
2º
34
3º
6º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
59 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
45 | 45 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 38 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 34 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
34 | 34 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 32 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 29 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 25 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 21 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 19 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 19 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
12 | 12 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valur Reykjavík
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2023 |
VIK
2 - 3
VAL
56%
22%
22%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2023 |
BRE
1 - 0
VAL
56%
22%
22%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
VAL
0 - 0
KEF
68%
19%
13%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2023 |
VAL
1 - 3
GRI
77%
14%
9%
|
74 | 55 | 19 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
KAA
0 - 4
VAL
41%
26%
33%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
FH Hafnarfjordur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2023 |
FHH
4 - 3
HKK
56%
23%
22%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2023 |
IBV
2 - 3
FHH
35%
26%
39%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2023 |
FHH
2 - 1
NJA
61%
20%
19%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
VIK
2 - 0
FHH
69%
18%
13%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2023 |
FHH
2 - 1
KEF
50%
23%
27%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | +1 |