Valour vs York United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.6%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
30.1%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
1º
8º
8º
38
3º
8º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 42 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 42 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 40 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
38 | 38 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 36 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 29 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
26 | 26 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valour
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2023 |
VAN
0 - 0
VAL
9%
17%
74%
|
66 | 12 | 54 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
VAL
1 - 1
PAC
32%
28%
41%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
FOR
3 - 2
VAL
57%
24%
19%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
VAL
0 - 0
HFX
56%
24%
20%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
CAV
1 - 1
VAL
47%
26%
26%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
York United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2023 |
FOR
1 - 2
YOR
60%
24%
17%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
YOR
1 - 0
CAV
29%
27%
44%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
HFX
0 - 3
YOR
40%
27%
33%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2023 |
PAC
4 - 1
YOR
67%
20%
13%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2023 |
YOR
1 - 4
VAN
24%
24%
52%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | -1 |